I thought it would be fitting to start back up my blog again with the latest fake hidden immunity idol event, since that is where I left off last season. Randy got played in a big way. Surprisingly, I wasn't as gleeful this time watching Jeff throw the idol in the fire, I actually felt bad for Randy. Sure, he was a big jerk around camp, but his opinions of the others around him seems slightly justified. This is a season full of contestants who seem to be depending on luck rather than strategy. Many of them seem to have the strategy of having no strategy. It is an odd season of Survivor since the "survivors" for the most part seem to be some of the weakest to ever be a part of Survivors. But, there are glimpses of hope amongst the remaining contestants. This is what I'll try to focus on as a rank where I feel the contestants are:
7. Corinne
Corinne seems to be more and more dumbfounded and dissapointed at each tribal council, and this was no exception. Her alliance is slowly crumbling and her elimination seems to be the next logical step for the Fang alliance. She does not get along with anybody else on the tribe, except perhaps Bob, and nobody likes her. I don't see many ways in which she can save herself. She needs to either win a long string of immunity challenges (unlikely) or try to convince Matty and Sugar that they are on the outs of their alliance and that they need to join with her and Bob for a potential chance of making the finals. But, will she allow herself to be brought down to these "morons" levels in order to tell them this plan?
6. Bob
Bob is the most likeable player left in the game (although that isn't saying much based on his competition). He made an interesting move this episode by giving his trust to Sugar and telling her about his fake immunity idol. Even more interesting, he followed her diabolical plan to give the fake idol to Randy and "hilariously" have him look the fool by playing it. How did this strategy help Bob? I'm not sure, to be honest. The best benefit I can think of from it is simply to get on Sugar's good side. But, I don't think it will save him more than one more week unless he can win several immunity challenges (more likely than Corinne, but still difficult) or get someone to switch up their strategy to give him more of an advantage (such as bringing Matty and Sugar in as explained above).
5. Matty
Matty is in trouble simply for his strength. He has the potential to win several challenges, and he seems a lot more likeable than many of the other Fang alliance members. This puts a big target on his back and probably won't get him past 5th or 4th place unless he can win every immunity challenge or switch to a more favorable alliance. He should capitalize on the desperation of Corinne and Bob if he wants to make it to the finals.
4. Sugar
Sugar is in much the same position as Matty. She doesn't seem to be included in Kenny's final three scenario. I placed her higher than Matty, though, because she does have the hidden immunity idol which could shake things up. If she sticks with her current alliance, and they get id of Corinne and Bob, she can use the idol to give her and Matty a significant chance of making the finals. Is she smart enough, though, to come up with this? Sometimes I think she just goes with whatever the crowd is going with, or just based on personal agenda rather than strategy.
3. Susie
There isn't much to say about her. She made a good decision to switch to Kenny and Crystal and vote out Marcus. But, if she does make the finals, there isn't any chance that she will get enough votes to win. I'm pretty sure that Kenny and Crystal are both counting on that.
2. Crystal
Crystal has been very vocal this whole game, and continued that trend by pratically shouting her voting confessional speech about how obnoxious she thinks Randy is. Her boisterous manner could, in fact, cause her to lose votes in a final two or three situation. Once again, I think Kenny is counting on this.
1. Kenny
Who knew that this skinny video game afficionado would end up the mastermind of the season? Kenny seems to have a lot of power in the game right now. It seems that in his alliance what he says goes. This was proven when he convinced the tribe to vote off Charlie in the last episode. He needs to avoid being too cocky, though, because the rest of the tribe may start to sense it and decide to humble him by voting him off. He has set himself up to be in a final 3 situation where the other 2 have no chance of getting very many (if any) votes. If he can keep his alliance intact, he should have a smooth ride to the winners seat. But, this is Survivor, so we all know this won't happen...
So, that's my assessment of the game at this point in time. Corinne is in pretty bad shape, and its going to take some fervent strategizing for her to stick around. The preview for next week is intriguing in which Bob tells Corinne that Marcus hid the immunity idol that he convinced everybody to throw in the ocean in his pocket and dug it and told Bob about it. Could this possibly be true, or is this Bob covering up for the fake immunity idol Randy incident? Just so you know, Randy, I agree with you about the cookies, Sugar was being a jerk about it.
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